Media Mix Model

See the true value of every marketing dollar

Prescient AI's Media Mix Model measures and optimizes towards the incremental impact of every channel across your sales channels — including halo effects your attribution tool can't see. Updated daily. No guesswork.

Book a demo 30-min call · No commitment
200+ brands
$2.2B+ in ad spend measured
Live in 1–2 weeks
Prescient AI media mix model dashboard showing channel-level attribution and incremental revenue

The status quo

You're spending millions on ads — and still guessing what's working

Your attribution tool says Meta is crushing it. Your CFO disagrees. Last-click gives credit to the last touch but misses the channels that started the journey — and ignores offline impact entirely. Platform-reported ROAS tells each channel it's the hero. Incrementality tests take months to run and can't cover everything. Meanwhile, you have no way to measure how online and offline channels work together.

The result?

30%+

of ad budgets are misallocated based on flawed attribution data

6–12 wks

typical wait for results from legacy MMM consulting engagements

0 visibility

into how channels influence each other, seasonality, or brand equity effects

The paradigm shift

What if your model updated every day — and measured what attribution can't?

Prescient AI's Media Mix Model combines the rigor of neural networks with the speed of modern machine learning. It quantifies the direct and halo impact of every channel — down to the campaign level — updates daily with fresh data, and delivers clear budget recommendations — not a 60-page PDF three months later.

Capabilities

What the model actually shows you

See each channel's incremental impact on your KPIs

Stop relying on what platforms report. Prescient's model isolates the incremental revenue each channel generates — separating the signal from the noise of organic trends and seasonality.

  • Channel, tactic, and campaign-level incremental returns
  • Daily model updates — not quarterly consultancy reports
  • Dynamic forecasting so you can invest with confidence
MMM Paid Revenue MMM Paid ROAS MMM Paid New Customers MMM Paid CAC 13,966 Total 3,473 Meta Ads 2,454 Streaming TV 2,246 Amazon Ads 2,057 TikTok 805 Google Ads 700 500 300 100 9 13 17 21 25 Total Meta Ads Streaming TV Amazon Ads
ROI Spend optimal Current Previous

Know exactly when to shift budget before you waste a dollar

Every channel hits a point of diminishing returns. Prescient's campaign-level saturation curves show you exactly where that threshold is — so you move dollars to higher-return channels before overspending.

  • Campaign-level saturation curves with clear "optimal zone" markers
  • Scenario modeling: "what happens if I shift $50K from Meta to TikTok?"
  • Budget recommendations you can act on this week, not next quarter

Quantify how channels amplify each other

A Meta awareness campaign lifts branded search on Google. A TikTok viral moment drives Amazon sales. These halo effects are invisible to attribution — but they're real revenue. Prescient measures, forecasts, and optimizes towards them.

  • Halo effect measurement across every channel pair
  • Understand which upper-funnel spend makes lower-funnel channels work harder
  • Finally justify awareness spend to your CFO with hard numbers
REVENUE CONTRIBUTION BY CHANNEL Base — Shopify Halo — Shopify Base — Amazon Halo — Amazon 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Meta Ads Google Ads TikTok Ads Influencer CTV Revenue
Validation Sources EXPERIMENTS Geo-lift tests Holdout experiments Switchback tests PLATFORM INCREMENTALITY Meta Conversion Lift Google Causal Impact TikTok Brand Lift STATISTICAL CHECKS Out-of-sample MAPE Posterior predictive checks Cross-validation R²

Validate the model against real experiments

Trust, but verify. Prescient's validation layer lets you calibrate model outputs against geo-lift tests, holdout experiments, and platform incrementality data — so you know the numbers are reliable before you act on them.

  • Built-in calibration against incrementality test results
  • Out-of-sample validation so you can see predictive accuracy yourself
  • Transparent, glass-box methodology you can inspect and trust

Results

Growth teams trust Prescient to move fast and spend smart

Brands using Prescient AI see an average 24% improvement in ROAS within the first 90 days.

24%

avg ROAS improvement

2x

faster than legacy MMM

90%+

model accuracy

0

engineering effort

“We trust Prescient implicitly with our media strategy. Their insights into measurement and optimization are invaluable, and their dedication to learning our business ensures that every recommendation helps us scale effectively at the top of the funnel.”

Taylor Hastings
Taylor Hastings
Director of Omnichannel Marketing, WSS

“With Prescient's guidance, we implemented MMM to explore and expand into new TOF channels, including podcasts. The daily insights at the campaign level gave us confidence to scale effectively and achieve measurable growth.”

Ian Blair
Ian Blair
CEO, Laundry Sauce

“The support we get from Prescient goes above and beyond. They're not only a resource but a strategic partner who genuinely cares about our success, helping us integrate MMM insights into our workflow smoothly.”

Omar Yassin
Omar Yassin
Head of Data Science, Jack Archer

“Our founder was blown away when I walked him through the platform… It's amazing. So so useful.”

Hans P. Harris
Hans P. Harris
Director of Growth, BrüMate

“There is no other tool out there that can help me validate TV.”

Alex Diesbach
Alex Diesbach
VP of Digital Marketing, Saatva

Why Prescient

Not all MMMs are created equal

Feature Legacy MMM consultancy In-platform attribution
Update frequency Daily/Weekly Quarterly Real-time (biased)
Halo effects Sometimes
Time to first insights 2 weeks 6–12 weeks Instant (single-channel)
Cross-channel view
Scenario modeling Manual only
Requires data team No Yes No
Validation layer Varies

FAQ

Common questions

Most brands see their first actionable insights within 1–2 weeks of connecting data sources. Our models begin training immediately and update daily, so accuracy improves continuously from day one. No waiting 6–12 weeks for a consultancy deck.

Traditional MMMs update quarterly, require a consulting team, and deliver results as static PowerPoint decks. Prescient AI updates daily, includes cross-channel halo effects, and gives you a live dashboard with scenario modeling. You get the rigor of econometric modeling with the speed your team needs.

No. Most data flows through native integrations that connect directly to your ad platforms and analytics tools — no engineering tickets, no data warehouse required. For some data sources, we also allow manual CSV uploads. If you can log into your ad accounts, you can use Prescient.

Our Bayesian hierarchical model uses priors informed by benchmarks across 200+ brands. This means even channels with limited spend history get reliable estimates — not just "insufficient data" warnings. As you accumulate more data, the model continuously refines its estimates.

Yes. Prescient AI supports calibration with geo-lift tests, holdout tests, and platform-reported incrementality data. Our validation layer lets you compare model outputs against real experimental results — so you can trust the numbers before making budget decisions.

Prescient AI integrates natively with Meta, Google, TikTok, Snapchat, Pinterest, Amazon, CTV/OTT platforms, Shopify, and more. We also connect to analytics tools like Google Analytics and revenue sources. See the full list at our Integrations page. If you use it, we probably connect to it — and if we don't yet, our team will work with you.

Still have questions?

Book a 30-minute call. We'll walk you through the platform with your actual channels and share relevant case studies.

Book a demo

Learn more

Go deeper on media mix modeling

200+

Brands measured

Daily

Model updates

$2.2B+

Ad spend measured

2 wks

Time to value

Your next budget decision should be backed by data

In your demo, we'll analyze your current media mix and show you where budget is being wasted — and where the growth opportunities are.

Book your demo

30-minute call · Custom analysis included · No commitment required